While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . This is still a substantial difference from the period 1960 to 1980 when every state, save for Arizona, voted for each party at least once. Similarly, one state south, 56.45 percent of Oregon voters chose Joe Biden in 2020 compared to just 40.37 percent for Donald Trump. "Amerika whlt Spiegel Online Nachrichten", "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid", Choosing colors based on incumbent vs. challenger victory from November, 2004, The Honky Tonk Gap: Country Music, Red State Identity, and the Election of 2004, "Re-imagining the Red States: New Directions for Southern Studies. It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. Thus Trump ended with all 20 of Pennsylvanias electoral votes. Further, all election maps are subject to the interpretation error known as the ecological fallacy. Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. Regarding national politics, it is historically a "Red" state although in recent national elections it has gone"blue". They had ads, social media, conference calls, press releases, you name it on, all on fracking. Getting at the red mirage idea, if we dont get Atlanta and big GA burbs, and some major blue areas of Wisconsin and Pennsylvania its easy to see Trumps lead holding for now or staying closer than they should end up. Charlie We haven't heard yet from Allegheny County, which is also a top source of Democratic votes. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. The next batch will be reported at 9 a.m. (I am deleting my post earlier that said Philly officials said they were not reporting more mail-in results tonight, because it appears to have been based on incomplete information. High turnout meant long lines, which remain active at some locations.(Any eligible voter in line by 8 p.m. is permitted to vote. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote Related: List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF. The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No. Red states vs. blue states. Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. In 1908, The New York Times printed a special color map, using blue for Democrats and yellow for Republicans, to detail Theodore Roosevelt's 1904 electoral victory. Maps of this type are termed choropleth maps, which have several well-known problems that can result in interpretation bias. These are general election results for the years listed. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. The 2020 election has caused anxiety among Americans to remain high as some states are still counting ballots. So he has a little cushion there to workwith. Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. One source claims that in the elections prior to 2000 every state that voted for Democratic candidates but one had been coded red. You have entered an incorrect email address! The state had an additional redistricting before 2018. In previous elections, the color assignments or even the actual colors used were often different. Manage Settings Biden won by larger margins than Clinton in every county that voted for her except for Philadelphia, where he won by about 4,000 fewer votes than Democrats had in 2016. Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? ", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Red_states_and_blue_states&oldid=1142683256, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:42. [11] As late as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Sorry Marc. Overall, Pennsylvania is a blue state 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. Gov. Is Missouri a red state? In Nebraska, two of the five electoral votes go to the winner of the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's three congressional districts. It feels like the new Florida. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. Nearly every town, city and patch of farmland in the country is "purple", a mixture of people, each of whose own political preferences can vary. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. Copyright 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives. Top sources of out-of-state housing demand viewing. Its governor is Democratic, its Senate is both Republican and Democratic, and its House balance is also evenly split between the two parties. Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. This is most evident in the Southern United States, where the state Democratic Party organizations tend to be more conservative than the national party, especially on social issues. [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. But maps that color entire counties red or blue can dupe viewers: they make both states . Sacrificing the Future to China for Bidens Green New Deal. Here's the count: 2020: When do we get to talk some PENNSYLVANIA :eagles:? Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. Winner chosen by the House of Representatives That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . Use arrow keys to move around the map. But, in the coming days, Pennsylvania underwent what has come to be known as a "blue shift." Democrats had requested more mail-in ballots than Republicans had by a margin of two to one. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. Biden rebuilt the "blue wall" and expanded the map Rust Belt states have been the base of Democrats' electoral map for a generation, but along with winning them back, Biden also expanded the. . More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. [21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. By breaking the map down into smaller units (including many blue counties lying next to red counties), these maps tend to display many states with a purplish hue, thus demonstrating that an ostensibly blue or red state may, in fact, be closely divided. Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? And then, like Anita, I am watching to see how POTUS reacts. Archie Tse, The New York Times graphics editor who made the choice when the Times published its first color presidential election map in 2000, provided a nonpolitical rationale for retaining the redRepublican link, explaining that "Both 'Republican' and 'red' start with the letter 'R. Election results provided by the Associated Press. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Similarly, at least one network would have used yellow to indicate a state won by Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996, though neither of them did claim any states in any of these years. In the days after the 2000 election, the outcome of which was unknown for some time after election day, major media outlets began conforming to the same color scheme because the electoral map was continually in view, and conformity made for easy and instant viewer comprehension. The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. The presidential primary contests are usually decided before Pennsylvania holds its primary, which is on Tuesday, April 26, this year. The lack of clear classes make these purple maps prone to the problems of color perception described above. Out of the counties in these states that Hillary Clinton lost in 2016, Biden won only eight of them. Cartographers have traditionally limited the number of classes so that it is always obvious which class a color shade represents. Alabama is the most Republican, and Washington the most Democratic state, according to new rankings from The Hill. The 2004 election showed two of these three states to be true to the presidential preferences of their respective regions, creating a greater regional separation; thus, an argument that the country was more divided from the 2000 election. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. NBC continued its color scheme (blue for Republicans) until 1996. A third possibility is that blue states tend to have higher urban density, which in theory could make spreading of the virus easier. All Rights Reserved. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. Same caution about borders applies. Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[56] and a red "GOP" for Republicans). [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. These states often had more regulations and higher taxes. McCain held the more suburban and rural areas of both the red and blue states, while Obama received the large majority of the urban city areas in all the states. Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. To win in 2016, Donald Trump broke through some of the 'blue wall' of 242 electoral votes that had voted Democratic in each presidential election since at least 1992. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. With the exception of Maricopa County (Phoenix), Trump won all the Arizona counties that voted for him in 2016 by even greater margins in 2020. V4 Stands Against North African and Middle Eastern Invasion, Robo-Advisors: When You Have a Lot More to Lose than Money, FARM AMERICA: New York Citys Finest Cheesemongers, The Fed Independent and Non Political Joins The Resistance, Tucker Carlson Interviews My Favorite Florida Farmer. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . Anita Trump aides were claiming high turnout in Republican areas in Luzerne, which is one of the three counties that flipped from supporting Obama to Trump in 2016. In recent elections, there have been a dozen or more truly competitive battlegrounds which could result in many various paths to 270 electoral votes. Be the first to know breaking news, delivered only when a big story is developing. All three of those states were very close in both elections. [40] At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victorious major party nominee did not win a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in 1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequences from 1836 through 1860 and from 1876 through 1900. While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate. So will that number end up being less than 100,000, ornot? Most issues involving misunderstandings or miscommunication about voting rules and laws were resolved by Election Task Force prosecutors by phone, and DAO prosecutors and detectives also responded to investigate incidents at polling sites in all six Philadelphia Police divisions. polls closed in Calif., Idaho, Ore., Wash. polls closed in Ariz., Colo., Kan., La., Mich., Minn., Neb., N.M., N.Y., N.D., S.D., Texas, Wis., Wyo. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoralvotes.. Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . Special elections, if any, are excluded. President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr. took back Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by surging in the suburbs. But in western Pennsylvania, as well as the northeast, it's more popular and has led to a boom in some areas that have been struggling economically for a long time. Texas was the biggest winner the second-most populous state added two congressional seats, while Florida and North Carolina gained one. On Election Day, polls are open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. 2020 Electoral Map Results. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Over the last decade, there has been a notable increase in Latinos' share of the overall population in Arizona, up from 25 to 31 percent since 2000. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. Pennsylvanias demographic makeup has not altered dramatically in just four short years. Americas Colleges Have Become Progressive Liberal Rat Holes, Russia and the High Priesthood of the Neocon Synod, DeSantis Hits the Road for Law and Order Tour. [5] However, at that time, a maker of widely-sold maps accompanied them with blue pencils in order to mark Confederate force movements, while red was for the union.[6]. For other uses, see, Contrast with color usage in other countries, Table of presidential elections by states since 1972. But Biden won the most votes in the most populous county, also called Jefferson. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. Update: Philadelphia officials tell me they will report more mail-in ballot results betweenmidnight and 1 a.m. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. An even more detailed precinct-by-precinct breakdown demonstrates that in many cases, large cities voted for Obama, and their suburbs were divided. Blue States No. Former Governor Ed Rendell gives his take. The cartographer must choose how many classes to use and how to divide the data into those classes. By 1996, color schemes were relatively mixed, as CNN, CBS, ABC, and The New York Times referred to Democratic states with the color blue and Republican ones as red, while Time and The Washington Post used the opposite scheme. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. More than a . It delivered a big margin for Clinton in2016. A measuring device or measuring instrument is a device to measure a physical quantity or degree of something in our lives every day. A free app to create, analyze and share redistricting maps for any state. With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) Special elections, if any, are excluded. He served as governor from 2003 to 2011 and was also the mayor of Philadelphia. What determines a state's "color"? Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. With 100% of precincts reporting, Trump won the state with . Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. Trump:61,386 (60.51%) Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party.